Market Access
Collective selling through cooperatives grew where buyers were reliable, but market uptake was the weakest pathway across programmes: buyer links, premium markets and EU sourcing targets were often missed, and middlemen still dominate sales in maize, horticulture and gold.
Key evidence
- OCDDP households selling mainly to their cooperative rose from 40% to 78%, but most cooperatives cannot buy dry coffee, so farmers sell it to traders at lower prices. OCDDP · Endline · 2021
- F4APK raised the share of milk sold to dairy cooperatives by 40% relative to the 50% baseline share, but none of the new horticulture collection centres were functional in 2020 after a buyer failed to pay. F4APK · Endline · 2020
- TRACE certified 12,674 farmers under Rainforest Alliance and 2,521 as organic, but no organic coffee had been sold through certified channels after a milling licence was withdrawn. TRACE Kenya · Endline · 2025
- Bottom Up: only 1 of 4 targeted producers supplied verified lint cotton and 1 of 2 targeted EU buyers sourced from participating factories; GTI did not deliver its buyer matchmaking. Bottom Up · Endline · 2023GTI · Endline · 2021
- PfC rated Market Uptake the weakest pathway (Moderately Satisfactory), noting that building supply before securing buyers failed in the gold and leather cases. Practice for Change programme (PfC), excluding NI-SCOPS projects · Endline · 2020
- Middlemen dominate: 74% of Bungoma maize went to middlemen and only 16% of farmers were in producer groups; 45.4% of H4G farmers still sold to middlemen at endline. CSV · BaselineHorticulture for Growth (H4G) – Promoting Horticulture Enterprise Development in Kenya · Endline
- Access to market information rose from 44% to 82% of CSV Maize respondents, but only 15% of PACE smallholders used the digital market information system, and 5% (Kenya), 4% (Uganda) and 0% (Tanzania) of Coffee Resilience farmers got information through mobile platforms. CSV Maize · Midline · 2024PACE · MidlinePFC · Endline · 2022
- Use of sustainability standards ranged from 15% (Mbinga coffee) to 83% (Njombe tea), was absent in Zanzibar, and avocado farmers received no premium; costs from foreign auditors held compliance back. C&B · Baseline
In figures
Earlier measurement Later measurement
Selling mainly to their cooperative, OCDDP Ethiopia
Selling mainly to their cooperative, OCDDP Ethiopia
Baseline: 40 → Endline 2021: 78 % of farmers or sales
40 → 78Baseline: 40 → Endline 2021: 78 % of farmers or sales
Access to market information, CSV Maize Kenya
Access to market information, CSV Maize Kenya
Year 1: 44 → Year 2: 82 % of farmers or sales
44 → 82Year 1: 44 → Year 2: 82 % of farmers or sales
French bean sales through collection centres, F4APK Kenya
French bean sales through collection centres, F4APK Kenya
Baseline: 62 → Endline: 44 % of farmers or sales
62 → 44Baseline: 62 → Endline: 44 % of farmers or sales
The F4APK row fell: new collection centres stopped working after a buyer failed to pay farmers.
OCDDP · Endline · 2021CSV Maize · Midline · 2024F4APK · Endline · 2020
Data table
| Item | Earlier | Later |
|---|---|---|
| Selling mainly to their cooperative, OCDDP Ethiopia | 40 (Baseline) | 78 (Endline 2021) |
| Access to market information, CSV Maize Kenya | 44 (Year 1) | 82 (Year 2) |
| French bean sales through collection centres, F4APK Kenya | 62 (Baseline) | 44 (Endline) |
Change over time
CSV Maize Kenya
- Baseline 202174% of maize sold to middlemen; no maize cooperatives in the area.
- Midline 2024Market information access 82% (from 44%); one aggregation centre established, two still registering.
H4G (horticulture) Kenya
- Baseline 202238% of farmers linked to credible input or service providers; 45% could access quality inputs.
- Endline 202345.4% sold to middlemen and the share growing project target crops fell compared with baseline.
What works
- Intervening across production, certification and marketing at the same time increased farmer buy-in. TRACE Kenya · Endline · 2025
- Experienced, cohesive producer organisations (dairy cooperatives) delivered better market results than newer ones. F4APK · Endline · 2020FOSEK · Endline · 2021
- Selling to formal buyers pays more: tomatoes fetched KSh 60/kg from supermarkets against KSh 31 from brokers. RS! · Thematic study
What holds results back
- Building supply before demand was secured left producers without buyers. Practice for Change programme (PfC), excluding NI-SCOPS projects · Endline · 2020GTI · Endline · 2021
- Dependence on single commercial partners: buyer non-payment or licence withdrawal quickly reversed gains. F4APK · Endline · 2020TRACE Kenya · Endline · 2025
- Certification costs and missing premiums discouraged compliance. C&B · BaselineGTI · Endline · 2021
- Market concentration: in Kenya's coffee auction, 6 buyers controlled over 70% of traded value. RS! · Baseline · 2025
Recommendations for programming
- Secure buyers and multi-year off-take before building supply. TRACE Kenya · Endline · 2025Practice for Change programme (PfC), excluding NI-SCOPS projects · Endline · 2020
- Require functional redundancy so key value-chain roles are played by more than one partner. F4APK · Endline · 2020
- Expand aggregation centres (one per ward) and train their leaders in governance and business planning. CSV Maize · Midline · 2024
- Use local auditors to lower certification costs. C&B · Baseline
- Deliver market information through SMS and local radio as well as apps. RS! · Thematic studyPFC · Endline · 2022
Evidence gaps & caveats
- Few studies report prices and sales volumes at endline, so market outcomes are mostly described through reach and linkages.
- Results for EU-facing value chains (cotton, leather) come from a small number of factories and buyers.
Source studies (17)
- Mid Term Evaluation Report for Passport to Coffee Export (PACE) Project, TanzaniaTanzania · Midline
- Baseline Survey for the Creating Shared Value in the Maize Value Chain Project for Solidaridad East and Central AfricaKenya · Baseline
- Fair Value Distribution, Sustainable Consumption in the Coffee, Fruits, and Vegetable Sector in Kenya, and Uganda in support of Evidence-Based AdvocacyKenya · Thematic study
- Baseline Study on Certification and Beyond: Market Access for Sustainable Coffee, Horticulture and Tea from Tanzania (Final Report - Tanzania Mainland and Zanzibar)Tanzania · Baseline
- Horticulture for Growth (H4G) Project Promoting Horticulture Enterprise Development in Kenya: Endline Evaluation ReportKenya · Endline
- Baseline Study for the Horticulture for Growth (H4G) Project: Promoting Horticulture Enterprise Development in KenyaKenya · Baseline
- Towards a Fair Value! A Report of Study on the Fair Value Distribution Analysis in the Gold Supply Chain in Kenya and UgandaRegional (ECA) · Thematic study
- Reclaim Sustainability! Programme Baseline Report – Coffee Program, Uganda and KenyaRegional (ECA) · Baseline · Jan 2021 – Dec 2025
- Evaluation Report: Endline Survey – The Traceable Organic Coffee from Kenya ProjectKenya · Endline · Jan 2020 – Mar 2025
- Creating Shared Value in MVC in Kenya ('CSV Maize') Project: End of Year Two Evaluation ReportKenya · Midline · Aug 2023 – Jul 2024
- End-term Evaluation of Bottom Up Project in EthiopiaEthiopia · Endline · Apr 2019 – Mar 2023
- Evaluation Report: Scaling Investment for the Resilience of East Africa Coffee Producers Program (Tanzania, Kenya and Uganda)Regional (ECA) · Endline · Jan 2018 – Dec 2022
- FOSEK End-line Evaluation Final Report 2021Regional (ECA) · Endline · Sept 2013 – Dec 2021
- End Line Evaluation for Green Tanning Initiative (GTI) project in EthiopiaEthiopia · Endline · Jan 2018 – Dec 2021
- Oromia Coffee and Dairy Development Project (OCDDP): Final Report, End-line Evaluation StudyEthiopia · Endline · Jul 2016 – Apr 2021
- Endline Report: Impact Evaluation of the Food for All Project in Kenya (F4APK)Kenya · Endline · Jan 2015 – Dec 2020
- Evaluation of Solidaridad Practice for Change programme (PfC): Final reportRegional (ECA) · Endline · Jan 2016 – Dec 2020
